SDR 최신호가 출간되었습니다. 시스템다이내믹스 연구의 최근 동향은 물론 must-know 꾸러
미가 잔뜩 들어있는 SDR은 우리의 필독서입니다. 시스템다이내믹스의 60년을 회고한 John
Sterman의 기고문에 대한 논평이 있고 이 논평에 대한 John Sterman의 회신도 함께 담겨있
습니다.



세계 학회에 연회비를 내면 온라인 구독을 할 수 있습니다.

세계 학회 가입은 다음 링크를 참고해 주십시오.

bit.ly/SDS-Member



다음은 이번 논집의 주 내용입니다.



LETTERS TO THE EDITOR

A comment on John Sterman＇s “system dynamics at sixty: the path forward”
Jack Homer

Applying Sterman＇s proposed principles of modeling rigor to hybrid models combining
multiple simulation methods
Edward G. Anderson

On John Sterman＇s “System dynamics at sixty”: rigor, relevance and implications for
education
Markus Schwaninger

The great challenge for system dynamics on the path forward: implementation and real
impact
Jorgen Randers

Opportunities and risks on the path forward for system dynamics
Bradley Morrison

Reply to commentaries on “System Dynamics at Sixty: The Path Forward”
John Sterman

ANNOUNCEMENT

Announcement of the 2018 Application Award
Bradley Morrison

MAIN ARTICLES

Lessons from a large‐scale systems dynamics modeling project: the example of the
biomass scenario model
Steve Peterson, Brian Bush, Daniel Inman, Emily Newes, Amy Schwab, Dana Stright,
Laura Vimmerstedt

The biomass scenario model (BSM) is a dynamic model of the biomass‐to‐biofuels
supply chain in the U.S.A., developed during a multi‐year analysis effort conducted by
the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), under sponsorship from the United
States Department of Energy (DOE) Bioenergy Technologies Office (BETO). The BSM
project, which received the 2018 Applications Award by the International System
Dynamics Society, has supported collaborative analyses, developed scenarios for
industry development and facilitated stakeholder engagement. We summarize insights
gained from the BSM project that may be useful to other large‐scale dynamic modeling
efforts. We summarize the project focus, the analysis process, key outcomes and
observations on successful execution of such a product. Key points include the value of
a multidisciplinary team with clear roles, engagement of experts and stakeholders, and
use and reuse of simple, modular structures. The overall effort suggests that these
practices may aid long‐term, team‐focused, multi‐stakeholder modeling efforts.

A “Power and Influence” political archetype: the dynamics of public support
Robert Y. Cavana, Vicky E. Forgie, Marjan van den Belt, John R. Cody, Alvaro J.
Romera, Keming Wang, Chris A. Browne

Systems archetypes are effective in communicating complex behaviour with relatively
simple structures, across a wide range of topics. The “power dynamics” between
different power holders are critically important in decision making when it comes to
formulating and implementing policies. This topic was explored at a four‐day
Australasian systems workshop run in New Zealand. A synthesis approach was
combined with analytical procedures from system dynamics (SD). Building on Rahn＇s
“Fear and Greed” political archetype, a conceptual “Power and Influence” political
archetype was developed. This political archetype shows the impact of public support. It
is used to analyse a crowdfunding story in New Zealand. A small SD concept model was
subsequently constructed to test this story and evaluate alternative public support
scenarios. A library of political archetypes and concept models would be an asset for
the field of SD and provide a means of synthesising insights from case studies and
social theory.